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# Vasupradah: SEBI Registered Investment Advisor Kerala

## Sitemaps
[XML Sitemap](https://vasupradah.com/sitemap_index.xml): Includes all crawlable and indexable pages.

## Posts
- [Building Your Wealth Architecture Through Mutual Funds and Why Advisors may not have a quick and immediate answers to picking up a fund!](https://vasupradah.com/building-your-wealth-architecture-through-mutual-funds-and-why-advisors-may-not-have-a-quick-and-immediate-answers-to-picking-up-a-fund/): When families sit down with financial advisors to plan their futures, the conversation almost always starts with a frantic question: "Which fund is the best?".
- [India’s Industrial Credit Revival: What the RBI Data Is Telling Long-Term Investors](https://vasupradah.com/indias-industrial-credit-revival-what-the-rbi-data-is-telling-long-term-investors/): Indian equities gave investors very little to celebrate over the last two years. Consumption stayed soft, global conditions remained unhelpful, and portfolios that had compounded comfortably through the previous cycle went quiet. Most of the commentary during that period focused on what was visible: prices, sentiment, and the search for a trigger.
- [Why Flexi Cap are catching the attention but cannot be over relied.](https://vasupradah.com/why-flexi-cap-are-catching-the-attention-but-cannot-be-over-relied/): As investment advisors, one of our key responsibilities is to help clients cut through the short-term noise of the market and focus on structures that offer long-term resilience. In the current market environment, one category has consistently gained popularity  and wallets of Indian investor are the Flexi Cap Schemes.
- [Owner or Lender? The Tale of Two ₹10,000 Investments](https://vasupradah.com/owner-or-lender-the-tale-of-two-rupees-10000-investments/): The same bank. The same day. The same sum of money. Twenty-six years later, two utterly different destinies — and a quiet lesson about why equity matters.
- [The Seven-Year Truth About Equity](https://vasupradah.com/the-seven-year-truth-about-equity/): A mutual fund study spanning 15 years, and our own direct-equity research spanning 35, point to the same conclusion: the hardest part of investing was never what you bought, or even when. It was staying long enough for the maths to work.
- [The Rollercoaster of Returns: A Modern Lesson in Investor Psychology](https://vasupradah.com/the-rollercoaster-of-returns-a-modern-lesson-in-investor-psychology/): “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it!” 
- [Navigating the “Jump”: Finding Your Safe Withdrawal Rate for Retirement](https://vasupradah.com/navigating-the-jump-finding-your-safe-withdrawal-rate-for-retirement/): Once you have built your retirement corpus, the next logical step is figuring out how to make it last a lifetime, ensuring that it meets all your financial goals. Retirement planning provides a disciplined approach to this problem.
- [How to Start Investing in the Indian (Stock) Securities Market -The Right Way](https://vasupradah.com/how-to-start-investing-in-the-indian-stock-securities-market-the-right-way/): This guide will walk you through everything you need - from opening your first demat account to picking your first stocks - in plain language, without jargon, and with the practical wisdom that comes from years of advising real investors.
- [Future Ready: Navigating Financial Uncertainty in an Accelerating World](https://vasupradah.com/future-ready-navigating-financial-uncertainty-in-an-accelerating-world/): There is change and then there is the velocity of the change. In 70s, Alvin Toffler coined the term "Future Shock" to describe the disorientation and "shattering stress" induced by too much change in too short a time. Toffler argued that rapid technological and social shifts would shrink the duration of our relationships with our surroundings.
- [How to Rebalance Your Portfolio in a Volatile Market](https://vasupradah.com/how-to-rebalance-your-portfolio-in-a-volatile-market/): A disciplined, process-driven guide to realigning your asset allocation, pruning the weeds from your stock portfolio, and switching into stronger opportunities - especially when markets test your conviction.
- [The Invisible Anchor: Breaking Free from the Modern Debt Trap](https://vasupradah.com/the-invisible-anchor-breaking-free-from-the-modern-debt-trap/): As equity advisors, our primary focus is usually on identifying growth, managing risk, and helping your capital compound over time. However, before wealth can truly grow, we must address the single biggest destroyer of compounding: high-cost consumer debt.
- [The Great Indian Pivot: Navigating the AI Disruption in Indian IT](https://vasupradah.com/the-great-indian-pivot-navigating-the-ai-disruption-in-indian-it/): A Crisis of Confidence Before dissecting the mechanics of this technological shift, one must acknowledge the storm clouds currently gathering over Dalal Street’s favorite sector. A palpable overcast hangs over Indian tech stocks. For years, these companies were the defensive bedrock of portfolios—predictable, cash-rich, and constantly growing. Today, that unshakeable faith is being rattled. Investors are viewing PE multiples with newfound skepticism, debating whether the current volatility is merely a cyclical slowdown or the early tremors of structural decay. The fear is palpable: if AI replaces the "billable hour," does the terminal value of these service giants collapse? It is against this backdrop of market anxiety that the industry faces its greatest test.
- [The Search for a Hero: What Really Drives Wealth Creation?](https://vasupradah.com/the-search-for-a-hero-what-really-drives-wealth-creation/): If you are starting your journey to wealth creation, here is the hierarchy that can make a real difference.
- [The Moneyball Mindset: Winning the Wealth Game Without a “Yankee” Budget](https://vasupradah.com/the-moneyball-mindset-winning-the-wealth-game-without-a-yankee-budget/): In 2002, the Oakland Athletics baseball team faced an impossible problem. They had to compete against teams like the New York Yankees, who had three times their budget. By traditional standards, they had already lost before the first pitch was thrown.
- [Our Distorted Expectations from Money](https://vasupradah.com/our-distorted-expectations-from-money/): Money was invented to solve a logistical nightmare, but somewhere along the way, it became a psychological trap. We feel anxious about possessing more of it, all the time. To understand our current anxiety created by money, we must look at how the role of money has evolved and distorted over time.
- [The Wolf of Wall Street: A Monument to the Price of Unchecked Greed](https://vasupradah.com/the-wolf-of-wall-street-a-monument-to-the-price-of-unchecked-greed/): Jordan Belfort’s story is often misunderstood. In popular culture, it is frequently viewed as a rebellious joyride of excess, a celebration of how far charisma can take you. But strip away the Hollywood veneer, the yachts, the substances, and the adrenaline & you are left with a darker, more brutal truth about human nature & financial markets:
- [The Pursuit of Happyness: The Price of Persistence And What It Teaches Investors](https://vasupradah.com/the-pursuit-of-happyness-the-price-of-persistence-and-what-it-teaches-investors/): Few films capture the raw struggle behind financial survival as powerfully as The Pursuit of Happyness. Chris Gardner’s journey from homelessness and rejection to a life of dignity remains one of the most compelling reminders that the greatest asset in the world isn’t money. It’s mindset.
- [The All-or-Nothing Fallacy : A Statistical Case for Blended Investing](https://vasupradah.com/the-all-or-nothing-fallacy-a-statistical-case-for-blended-investing/): Predicting the market's next move is the holy grail of investing. A "Perfect Predictor" (PP) would flawlessly sidestep every down day and ride every up day. It’s an alluring fantasy. But what does the data say about this perfect strategy versus a simple "buy-and-hold" approach?
- [Planning to Succeed](https://vasupradah.com/planning-to-succeed/): Ravi had, he smugly decided, made a stellar hotel choice. Located right in the heart of the city, it was clean, well-priced, and featured comfortable beds within a beautifully restored vintage building. He'd even secured a room with a great view. The only tiny detail he'd overlooked was the absence of an elevator to his third-floor. Still, he thought, virtually patting himself on the back, a great find!
- [How many stocks do you need in your portfolio?](https://vasupradah.com/how-many-stocks-do-you-need-in-your-portfolio/): Returns are invariably the hero of a portfolio. Risk management, which is positioned as a second lead, typically works in the background. However, it is evident that the cushion and comfort that  good risk management  provides, really determines the success of the  portfolio strategy.
- [Reaching your financial goals](https://vasupradah.com/reaching-your-financial-goals/): Each one of us aspires to walk on the road of financial freedom. To reach there, it is of utmost importance that you plan your finances well through prudent financial planning. The essence of financial planning is to help you achieve your financial goals and in turn financial freedom. 

## Pages
- [Why Rebalancing your Portfolio is Important](https://vasupradah.com/why-rebalancing-your-portfolio-is-important/): Rebalancing is a risk-management strategy that ensures your portfolio remains aligned with your original financial goals and risk tolerance. Over time, market movements cause some assets to grow faster than others, leading to a "drift" that can fundamentally change the nature of your investment.
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- [Retirement Planning](https://vasupradah.com/retirement-planning/): Planning for retirement is the most important financial goal. This is the period where we are dependent on our finances the most.
- [Our Services](https://vasupradah.com/services/): Our Services We offer the following specialized services, each developed through rigorous research and analysis. To ensure the most effective fit, we align our clients with a specific service based on a comprehensive assessment of their risk profile, investment horizon, and their financial goals. Advisory Services Financial Planning Services Mutual Fund Distribution Equity & Mutual Fund Know More Suraksha Vitta (Protection of finance)Samana Utpady (Balanced creation)​Sthira Sampatti(Stable assets)​Dirghakalika Nivesa (Long term investments)​Niyamabadha Praksepaka Yojana(Systematic Investment Plan)​ Portfolio Evalution Know More Punarīkṣaṇa(Review of Portfolio) Financial Planning Know More Vittavyavasthaa
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- [Disclaimer](https://vasupradah.com/disclaimer/): All investments are subject to market risks. Investors are advised to read all relevant information carefully before making any investment. The value of any investment may rise or fall as a result of market changes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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## Articles
- [Nifty Takes One More Step Forward, 24773 is the Major Resistance Zone](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/nifty-takes-one-more-step-forward-24773-is-the-major-resistance-zone/): Last week, the initial major resistance line observed was the 24438 level, and the subsequent key resistance lines to watch were 24529-24601-24760-24854. The support to watch on the downside was given as 24295. Last week, 24427 was the lowest level, and 24774 was the highest level. The newly introduced closing auction system to determine the closing level caused a great deal of confusion in the initial days and led to massive volatility in Nifty, but the most important highlight of last week was that it later improved, and traders began adapting to it. We have experienced such issues during every transition, be it when online trading started or when the pre-market open system was introduced, and we have overcome all of them. We can believe that the same will happen here as well. Let me add that the highest level of 24774 was also a high resulting from a glitch in the new CAS system. Although the Reserve Bank kept interest rates unchanged last week, giving indications that a situation to raise them might arise in the next quarter, taking a balanced approach between growth and inflation is considered a good move for the stock market. Another highlight of last week was that the selling pressure from foreign investors decreased, and they increased their buying. This week, inflation, IIP data, and the Morgan Stanley index review will be the main focus. Now, let's examine the levels to watch in Nifty and some other major indices in the coming days.
- [Moving forward with caution.](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/moving-forward-with-caution/): As indicated last week, if the final traded level that closed above 23783 could sustain in the first hour on Monday, and later manage to close above 23906, it would be a sign of a comeback, and if the 24268-24367 levels were also crossed, it would open the possibility for a strong move by the bulls, while the first support to be maintained on the downside was seen at the 23667 level. Monday opened with a good gap-up itself, 23891 was the lowest level recorded that day, and it closed at 23995. Later, it continuously moved forward, uprooting every resistance line to advance up to 24429, and closed at 24383. In the meantime, even though the Iran-US war intensified and oil prices increased in the international market, the Indian market held on in an excellent manner. Indications that foreign investors have started believing that India's growth engine is working excellently were also seen in the market last week. Even though the US Fed kept interest rates unchanged, a strict stance (Hawkish) has been adopted in monetary policy. The market is evaluating the possibility of a rate hike from September. US bond yields are at their highest level since 2007. This can adversely affect the flow of foreign funds to emerging markets and the value of the Indian rupee.
- [Major Trials Ahead](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/major-trials-ahead/): In Nifty, the upper resistance level was observed at 24,397, while the initial support level on the downside was seen at 24,198. A close below this support was expected to lead to a move toward the 23,925–23,785 levels. The high recorded last Monday at 24,266 remained the highest point of the past week. Subsequently, toward the end of the week, although the index dropped as low as 23,606, it eventually managed to close at 23,786. The market had to face heavy pressure simultaneously from three distinct directions:
- [A decoupled move in the Indian market?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/a-decoupled-move-in-the-indian-market/): Last week, it was pointed out that the resistance level at 24602 and the support levels at 23925-23785 were the key areas to watch, and that significant volatility could be expected within this range. Although steep declines in global markets last week and elevated crude oil prices dragged Nifty into negative territory on several days, the market successfully held onto the psychological support of 24000. Except for Friday, Nifty had come very close to 24000 on all other trading days. On Friday, a rally resembling the start of a strong bull market emerged, with Nifty closing the trade at 24334. Moving on to last week's major developments, the standout event was the heavy sell-off in AI-related companies across global markets. For over a year, foreign investors had been selling heavily in markets like India to park their funds in these stocks—primarily US companies, closely followed by chip manufacturers in Taiwan, South Korea, and the Netherlands. However, massive selling pressure has been witnessed in these stocks over the past month. As a result, not only has the selling pressure in emerging markets like India started to ease, but prospects for new investments have also begun to emerge.
- [Will the Market Slip on Oil Again?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/will-the-market-slip-on-oil-again/): Last week, the levels of 24482 on the upside and 23829 on the downside were seen as the key levels on a closing basis. Last Monday, Nifty closed at 24430, and although it reached up to 24530 the very next morning, it managed to close only at 24398. The following day, as the Iran-US conflict escalated into heavy attacks and oil prices surged to the 79 mark, the market faced heavy selling pressure. It touched 23805 at one point but eventually closed at 23882. Although both key upper and lower levels were breached within a single day's difference, both sides failed to decisively sustain those breakouts. Later, Nifty closed at 23962 on Thursday and 24207 on Friday. By Friday, Brent crude had also cooled off slightly to the 76.40 level.
- [Crucial Hurdle at 24,482: Can the Bulls Cross It?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/crucial-hurdle-at-24482-can-the-bulls-cross-it/): Last week, 23,930 was seen as the crucial support level on the downside, while 24,175, 24,284, and 24,482 were identified as the resistance levels that needed to be breached on a closing basis. Although the index closed below 23,930 in the early part of the week, it bounced back to 24,176 the following day, touched a high of 24,378 on Friday, and ultimately settled at 24,270.
- [Upside Potential in Frontline Stocks](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/upside-potential-in-frontline-stocks/): As indicated last week, closing above the 24,123 level would open up a favorable scenario for the bulls, while closing below 23,817 would favor the bears. Throughout the week, the daily market closings remained confined within these two levels. Aside from the first two days—where the market closed very close to these thresholds at 24,103 and 23,824, respectively—it remained elusive without giving a clear directional grip to anyone. Another notable highlight was that it was a week of rather peculiar movements across global markets.
- [Nifty Targets 24,950; Crude Oil Movement Remains Crucial](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/nifty-targets-24950-crude-oil-movement-remains-crucial-2/): Regarding the Nifty last week, it was noted that above the 23,814 level, the resistance lines at 24,090, 24,284, and 24,482 would be crucial, and downward support should be observed at the 23,449 level. Nifty, which closed above 23,814 on the very first day of the week and later advanced to 24,189, eventually closed at 24,013. The highlight of the past week was that it was highly eventful, although this was not entirely reflected in the market. The US-Iran conflict reached a consensus, following which Brent crude in the international market dropped from the 88 level down to 76.54. Consequently, the Rupee strengthened, reaching 94.35, marking a week where the Rupee improved by approximately 80 paise.
- [Will Banks Join the Bulls?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/will-banks-join-the-bulls/): Last week, the 23242-23150 level in Nifty was seen as the first support on a closing basis, and 23547 as the first resistance zone. Following global markets last Monday, it started with a massive gap down at 23080. From the low of 23070 recorded at the very beginning, it later recovered to reach 23267 before closing the day at 23123. As mentioned earlier, the market often turns such fancy number closings into a turning point. The reality is that from the very next day, the market tried to sustain its upward momentum. After holding near the 23240 level for the next three days, it once again tested 23072 intraday, bounced back, and closed the week at 23623. Another close reminiscent of the first day's closing. The news that the Iran-US conflict is reaching a settlement, and Brent crude subsequently dropping to 87, came as a relief. As pointed out earlier that the Banking and IT sectors were the ones likely to lead any kind of comeback, it was Bank Nifty that initiated a strong upward move. Bank Nifty moved from the 54000 level and closed at the 56800 level. Let us look at what to expect in the coming days.
- [Profit-Booking Trend in Global Markets](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/profit-booking-trend-in-global-markets/): It was mentioned last week that crossing 23893 would be the key level to watch on the upside, and a close below 23262 on the downside would lead Nifty into further selling pressure. The high of 23733 recorded on the very first trading day remained the highest level of the past week. Although it touched 23151 at one point on Wednesday, the bulls managed to sustain the closing above 23400. Closing at 23366 at the end of the week, it was notable that the selling pressure was primarily concentrated in the IT and Metal indices. The heavy selling witnessed in the American market after the Indian market closed on Friday spread gloom in the bull camps during the holidays. Much better-than-expected job data, coupled with already high inflation, raised concerns that the US is moving towards a scenario of interest rate hikes. Additionally, a statement from the Anthropic founder suggesting it might be better to step back a bit—as AI is advancing to a capability of analyzing things on its own without human intervention—caused a profit-booking trend across all sectors.
- [Mind with the Bears, Heart with the Bulls](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/mind-with-the-bears-heart-with-the-bulls/): It was indicated last week that a close above the 23838 level would bring Nifty closer to the resistance zone of 23988 - 24278, and upon breaking this, the 24482 level would be the one to watch, while on the downside, the 23658 - 23398 supports would need attention. Even though the market bounced back very strongly with an increase of over 300 points on the very first day of last week, Nifty was not only unable to cross beyond the 24090 level recorded in the initial days, but it also faced heavy selling pressure down to 23484 on the final trading day, eventually closing the trade at 23547. The only thing providing some solace to the bulls is the fact that the selling pressure on Friday was due to MSCI rebalancing. Technically, it must be said that facing selling pressure without being able to overcome the resistance zone at higher levels, especially the 24284-24482 level, is not a very good sign. If the bulls fail to create any movement in the two strategically important sectors of Banking and IT in the coming days, they will have to pay a heavy price for it. Among these, Banking was recently snatched away from the bulls by the bears, while IT has been held by them for a long time. The bulls are making fairly good efforts to reclaim the IT index. At the very least, what is needed in the coming days is to cross and close above the highly crucial resistance zone of 29343 and sustain above it. If the Nifty IT index, currently at the 29080 level, manages such a close, it will not only trigger a leap towards the 31600-32650-33703-36225 levels but also act as a massive, comforting support for Nifty. Regarding Bank Nifty, the closest support to watch is the 52836 level, and on the upside, 56475 is the first resistance zone that needs to be broken to advance. All this was mentioned just to be aware of the positions that the two major indices, which have the potential to influence Nifty in some way, need to take. Now, let's examine Nifty itself.
- [The Calm Before the Storm in the Market](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/the-calm-before-the-storm-in-the-market/): The Calm Before the Storm in the MarketLast week, on a closing basis, the initial resistance zone that needed to be breached on the higher side was the 23,786 level, and the support on the downside was at 23,534. The fact that the market strictly closed within these two levels throughout the week indicates that both sides are standing strong and active in the competitive arena, unwilling to yield an inch.
- [Key Sectors in Nifty in the Grip of Bears](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/key-sectors-in-nifty-in-the-grip-of-bears/): Last week, the immediate resistance zone seen in Nifty was 24250. It was opined that selling pressure would increase below 24110, and if 23882 is also lost, it would make the bears stronger. The level of 23997 recorded at the beginning of last week was the highest level of the week itself. Later it went down to 23262, and slightly improved its position in the last two days to close at 23643. IT and Banking stocks were the main targets of the bears. While oil prices remain high in the international market, the market is looking with surprise at the fact that diesel and petrol prices were increased only marginally in India. Some prominent analysts point out that the nominal increase of ₹3 is a precursor to a phased increase of ₹8 to ₹11 later. With wholesale price inflation currently standing above 8 percent, some foreign investors also point out the possibility of retail inflation reaching above 6 percent in the next three to 6 months. In such a scenario, the Reserve Bank Monetary Policy meeting early next month assumes greater importance. It is also important whether there will be changes from the situation where interest rates were being reduced. Meanwhile, there are those who raise an eyebrow as to whether the US President's visit to China last week and the Russian President's visit this week are just normal trade deal discussions. The possibilities of methods of conquering countries being emulated also remain open.
- [Bears Keep Their Grip](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/bears-keep-their-grip/): In the immediate future, the closest resistance zone to watch is at 24,250. Closing above this will be the first major hurdle for the index. On the downside, the immediate support is positioned at 24,110. A close below this level is a clear technical indicator of further pressure mounting on the Nifty. If the crucial 23,882 level is also breached, it will significantly strengthen the bears' grip on the market.
- [Is the market heading downwards?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/is-the-market-heading-downwards/): Last week, 23783 was seen as the initial support, while on the upside, 24120 and the 24209-24436 levels above it were viewed as resistance zones. Along with this, it was indicated that the market would no longer fear crude oil significantly and would instead treat it as a new normal. Last week, the Nifty only dipped to 23796; after reaching 24334 in the initial days, it closed the week at 23997. It was only on the final day that it reached very close to the 23783 support level. Notably, despite the US-Iran conflict escalating and crude surging to trade near 115, there was no major crash in the market. The Rupee crossing and sustaining above the 95 mark against the Dollar was another negative move in the market last week. The past week also witnessed a heavy decline in major Nifty sectors like IT and Bank Nifty. Sectors like Media, Pharma, Public Sector, Metals, Infra, and Energy held their ground alongside the bulls. However, over the past two weeks, the market has also shown signs of Public Sector Banks slowly moving in favor of the bears. Let's look at what to expect in the coming days.
- [Both Sides Tread Carefully to Secure Their Stance](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/both-sides-tread-carefully-to-secure-their-stance/): Last week, we noted that the structure of this bull move was flawed, suggesting that every step forward should be taken with caution. We highlighted that the primary challenge for the bulls was to cross and sustain a closing above the resistance zone of 24522-24576. Conversely, for the bears, the goal was to break and close below the support at 24218, followed by the deeper supports of 24050-23783. While the market managed to close exactly at 24576 on the first day, the bears launched a strong offensive from the following day onwards. By the end of the week, the index touched a low of 23813 before finally settling at 23898. During the initial days, mixed results from HDFC and ICICI Bank were followed by stability from FMCG giants and Tech stocks. However, disappointing results from subsequent Tech majors led to a massive sell-off. This, combined with renewed geopolitical tensions pushing Brent Crude to 105 and poor performance from certain public sector banks, led to the market's decline. Generally, banking and auto sectors recorded heavy selling pressure. The partial withdrawal of foreign currency restrictions further weakened the Rupee, which closed above 94. Let's look at what to expect in the coming days.
- [Strong Closing for Nifty, But Concerns Remain Over the Rally’s Structure](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/strong-closing-for-nifty-but-concerns-remain-over-the-rallys-structure/): As indicated last week, the bulls were expected to try and defend the initial support zone of 23930-23817 and the crucial lifeline at 23682, while the bears would attempt to defend the first resistance zone of 24080-24170 and the critical resistance at 24304. The week started with a massive gap-down opening, with Nifty initially dropping to the 23555 level. However, it recovered from there to close the day at 23842. Amidst significant global anxieties following the failure of peace talks in Pakistan, Nifty's ability to hold two major supports was indeed another victory for the bulls.
- [Nifty Near Resistance Levels Once Again:](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/nifty-near-resistance-levels-once-again/): Last week’s outlook suggested that Nifty had entered a crucial support range of 22,254 – 21,930, creating a favorable environment for a "bottom formation" and offering excellent opportunities for short-term investors. It was noted that if these supports held, Nifty could recover toward the 23,480 – 23,636 – 24,333 levels.
- [Light at the End of the Tunnel](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel/): Even though the past week consisted of only three trading days, it witnessed intense volatility. The resistance level of 23,047 mentioned last week was never tested; however, the primary support zone of 22,254–21,930 was put to the test.
- [Stock Bulls Trapped in Crude Price Market Overview & Crude Volatility](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/stock-bulls-trapped-in-crude-price-market-overview-crude-volatility/): The market began last week with a massive crash. Following crude oil trading near the 114 level at the start of the week, the market opened with a significant gap-down on Monday. The Nifty touched a recent low of 22471. However, in the days that followed, crude cooled off to the 92-97 levels after the US President announced a temporary halt to the war. This sparked a market rally, pushing the Nifty up to 23465. But by Friday, the final trading day of the week, tensions escalated again on the war front, causing crude to surge and the markets to face another downturn. At Friday's close, the Nifty was at 22819, and crude was trading near the 105 mark. Let's look at what to expect in the coming days.
- [Opportunities Opening Up for Long-Term Investors](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/opportunities-opening-up-for-long-term-investors/): Last week, the bulls needed to hold the support at 22,961, which they successfully did, advancing up to 23,862. However, as the situation on the war front worsened and crude oil surged out of control, the Nifty returned to the 23,000 level, closing at 23,114. As the war drags on week after week, the devastation it brings to the world is immense. This reality is accurately reflecting in the market. Let's examine the crucial levels to watch in the coming days.
- [Will the Dollar Also Spell Trouble for Equity Bulls Who Slipped on Oil?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/will-the-dollar-also-spell-trouble-for-equity-bulls-who-slipped-on-oil/): Last week, it was indicated that the 24154-23750 support levels were highly crucial, and closing below them would be akin to handing Nifty over to the bears. On the upside, 24571 was seen as the first resistance line. Additionally, it was pointed out that the Dollar Index would only open up further upward possibilities if it managed to break past the 99.35 level. The highest level recorded by Nifty in the initial days of last week was 24303, followed by continuous selling pressure, causing it to hit 23112 by Friday before closing at 23151. Brent Crude prices sustaining above $100 and the feeling that an end to the war in Iran is a distant possibility shattered market expectations. Let's see what can be expected in the market in the coming days.
- [Previous Week’s Performance: Nifty’s Resilience](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/previous-weeks-performance-niftys-resilience/): Nifty's weakness was initiated the moment it struggled to cross the 25693 mark on a weekly closing basis. The index is now testing critical lower support zones.
- [24,571–24,404 Emerges as the Next Key Support Zone for Nifty](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/the-next-key-support-zone-for-nifty/): In our previous analysis, we highlighted that if Nifty could hold its initial support at 25,410 and close above the first resistance zone of 25,750–25,885, it would open up fresh opportunities for the bulls. We also cautioned that consistently closing below 25,693 on a weekly basis was a bearish signal, and that rising crude oil prices required close monitoring.
- [Slippery Slope: Will Rising Crude Trip the Market Bulls?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/slippery-slope-will-rising-crude-trip-the-market-bulls/): Last week, we pointed out that the challenge facing the bulls was to cross and close above the initial resistance band of 25,562–25,606 and the major resistance zone resting at the 25,900–26,010 levels. On the downside, the crucial support to be maintained was at the 25,356 level. On the first day of last week, the index closed at 25,682, recovering from a low of 25,372. Over the next two days, it reached the week's high of 25,885. However, without even attempting to breach the 25,900 resistance zone, it retreated to 25,380 before closing the week at 25,571. You could say that the Nifty is currently dancing to the tunes of the put writers at the 25,400 level and the call writers at the 26,000 level.
- [Are the Bears Gaining Strength?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/are-the-bears-gaining-strength/): We had mentioned last week about the technical "hurdles" in Nifty’s weekly close above the 25693 level. Although Nifty held up well from the beginning of this week, by the end of the week, it displayed a contrary nature again. The picture became complete when the two major indices, IT and Banking, along with the Metal index—which had been surging ahead this year—faced selling pressure, and even the FMCG sector, described as defensive, bowed down. Nifty closed at 25471, down from the 26000 level seen mid-week. Let’s see what to expect in the coming days.
- [The rest is on the screen.](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/the-rest-is-on-the-screen-2/): Nifty, which closed at the 25,320 level last Friday, ended this week at 25,694, recording a gain of 374 points. However, the index witnessed significant volatility of 1,662 points during the week—dropping to a low of 24,679 following the budget presentation and subsequently rallying to a high of 26,341 on the back of the US-India trade deal news. A noteworthy point, however, is that neither the sharp fall post-budget nor the sharp rise following the trade deal saw any significant follow-up selling or buying. While such massive volatility is technically considered a slightly ominous signal, a definitive conclusion can only be reached after taking into account the follow-up moves in the coming days.
- [Did the Budget Disappoint?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/did-the-budget-disappoint/): Although Nifty maintained a positive momentum from the beginning of last week and remained optimistic until Friday, it faced heavy selling pressure following the Finance Minister's budget presentation on Sunday. The index plunged from last week's high of 25,450 to hit a low of 24,571 immediately after the announcement, eventually closing at 24,825.
- [Excellent Opportunities Opening Up for Investors](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/excellent-opportunities-opening-up-for-investors/): Last week, it was indicated that if Nifty could cross and close above the resistance zone of 25,818, it would open up possibilities for an upward reversal. However, if it lost the 25,585 level on a closing basis, a test of the lower support levels at 25,318–25,070 would follow. Last Monday, Nifty breached 25,585 to close at 25,557. Subsequently, it closed at 25,232, then at 25,157 the next day, and finally ended the last trading day at 25,066. Let us look at the key levels to watch in the coming days.
- [Who Can Lead Nifty Forward?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/who-can-lead-nifty-forward-2/): Nifty Outlook Nifty closed last week just above the crucial weekly support of 25,693. In the coming days, maintaining a closing basis above 25,585 is critical for Nifty. If this level is lost, the support levels at 25,551-25,318 will become significant. Losing this support would lead Nifty to test another major support at 25,070. On the upside, the level to watch in the coming days is 25,818. A close above this would provide fresh energy to the market. Following this, the resistance levels at 26,210-26,373 will be important.
- [Is Market Fear the Beginning of a Crash?](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/is-market-fear-the-beginning-of-a-crash/): Last week, it was indicated that the immediate support to watch was 26,211. It was noted that if this level were breached, the 25,969–25,726 support zone would become crucial. Conversely, if 26,211 held and the index managed to close above 26,455, the rally could have extended towards the 26,502–26,987 levels. Although Nifty had closed at an all-time high the week prior, the new high of 26,373 recorded at the start of last week remained the weekly high. On that day, the index tested a low of 26,210 but managed to close at 26,250. The picture became clearer the following day when it closed at 26,178. Subsequently, 25,969 gave way, and by Friday, the 25,726 level was also surrendered, with Nifty finally closing at 25,683.
- [2026 Builds on the Strength of 2025 – Markets Prepare for a Breakout](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/2026-builds-on-the-strength-of-2025-markets-for-a-breakout/): From the perspective of the Indian economy, 2025 was a year of preparation. Falling interest rates, controlled inflation, continued momentum in infrastructure development, the ability to convert tariff-related fears into strategic opportunities, and maintaining national confidence even amid geopolitical tensions together made the past year distinctly significant.
- [Expectations for the New Year](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/expectations-for-the-new-year/): Last week, it was primarily indicated that if Nifty could cross the pressure zone of 26,023–26,058, there was a possibility of a move towards 26,203, with this level subsequently becoming a resistance line. Simultaneously, the support was seen at the 25,899 level. Although the week started with a strong rally on the first day and even breached 26,203 in the subsequent days, it was unable to close above this level even once. Eventually, the market closed the week at 26,042. It can be said that the bulls squandered the dominance they had established at the beginning of the week. Let us look at what can be expected in the market in the coming days. We are entering a week that combines the last three trading days of this year and the first two trading days of the New Year.
- [The battle for survival continues…](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/the-battle-for-survival-continues/): Last week, 26,108 was highlighted as the first resistance level, with 25,977 marked as the initial support. The market is currently witnessing a swing within a broad 25,500–26,300 trading range. Throughout the week, bears did not allow Nifty to move above 26,108, and the index gradually drifted lower to 25,726. However, toward the end of the week, a recovery emerged, enabling Nifty to post a fairly decent close at 25,966.
- [The Contest Intensifies, with Both Sides Moving Cautiously](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/the-contest-intensifies-with-both-sides-moving-cautiously/): Last week, it was highlighted that if the 26,300 level was decisively crossed, the bulls could continue their advance. On the other hand, if 26,061 was breached, a fresh corrective move toward the 25,551–25,318 zone could unfold. The week’s highest level, 26,179, was recorded early on Monday. The same day, Nifty closed lower at 25,960, confirming that the correction was set to continue. Over the next two sessions, the index declined further to 25,693, before staging a healthy rebound toward the end of the week and finally closing at 26,047. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate cut triggered a strong recovery across global markets, and its spillover effect was clearly reflected in Indian equities as well. Let us now review the key factors to watch in the coming days.
- [Bulls Ready to Make History](https://vasupradah.com/weeklyupdate/bulls-ready-to-make-history/): At present, bulls still hold the advantage, and the probability of the 26,061 support holding remains higher.

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